Mocking the draft mockers

There are seven days left in the endless lead-up to the NFL draft, when mock drafts from so-called experts have grown from being fun draft-day reading into a four-month-long marathon. All being presented by “insiders” who act like they know exactly what each team is thinking. Except since everyone is different, it shows no one is doing anything more than guessing.

Case in point, all the yacking following the 49ers trading up to the third spot to supposedly get Alabama QB Mac Jones because he’s Coach Kyle Shanahan’s kind of pocket passing QB. That caught special attention in Patriot Nation because it could impact NE’s ability to fill their long-term need at QB in a draft filled with high upside options. Except then came stories knocking Jones for not being an elite athlete and that SF really wanted uber athletic Trey Lance of North Dakota State, until Ohio State’s Justin Fields ran a 4.3 40 during his Pro Day. So the reality is they’re all just guessing about who’ll go right after Trevor Lawrence and BYU’s Zach Wilson are the first two QBs taken off the board by the Jags and Jets.

So the bottom line is don’t take it all as gospel. Just enjoy it all because it informs you about needs of teams ahead of the Pats and for how the big board ranks those who’ll be in play leading up to the Pats pick at (for now) 15. Here’s a guide to what they face next Thursday night, with a sprinkle of what I’d do if I were the GM making their decisions.

Should They Trade Up? It would be like Coach B to make everyone crazy by gambling that the QB they like will fall to them at 15. That doesn’t seem likely, but stranger things have happened. Having said that, unless they’re certain they can get who they want, they shouldn’t deal until they can guarantee they’ll get him.

Is Trading Up Worth The Price? It’ll take a combination of picks from Rounds 1-3 to go up. Here’s who they’ve taken in Rounds 1-3 since 2012. So you be the judge how damaging losing any of those picks would have been to the cause. Round 1 – Dont’a Hightower, Chandler Jones, Dominique Easley, Malcom Brown,Isaiah Wynn, Sony Michel, N’Keal Harry. Round 2 Tavon Wilson, Aaron Dobson, Jimmy Garoppolo, Cyrus Jones, Jordan Richards, Duke Dawson , Joejuan Williams, Kyle Dugger. Round 3 Jake Bequette, Logan Ryan, Joe Thuney, Geneo Grissom, Antonio Garcia, Chase Winovich and Anfernee Jennings. For me, out of 24 picks or tradeouts, just Hightower, Jimmy G, Ryan, Thuney and Wynn are big losses and the last four could be replaced.

Who Needs To Be Boxed Out: (1) Denver (ninth) – Drew Lock is the latest John Elway QB failure. (2) Washington (19) – they’re going with 112-year-old short-term rental Ryan Fitzpatrick. (3) Chicago (20) – with the GM and coach on the hotseat, more likely they need immediate help from a veteran. (4) Pittsburgh (24) – Big Ben is on his last legs, so beware. (5) New Orleans (28) if you missed the news Drew Brees just retired and has only question marks behind him.

The Possible Trade-Up Slots:

4 – Atlanta: With cap hits of $48 million, $40 million and $28 million over the next three years they can’t trade Matt Ryan. So it doesn’t make sense to draft a QB and sit him for two years. Realistic trade possibility.

5 – Cincinnati: Joe Burrow got killed all year leading to a torn ACL. So an improved O-Line is badly needed, which they can get at 15. Unless they prefer a top receiver like LSU teammate Ja’Marr Chase.

6 – Miami: They’re not helping the Pats. But they can probably get one of Chase, Kyle Pitts, Devonta Smith or Jaylen Waddle among the top receivers they’re eyeing with the ninth spot they’d get in a trade with Denver.

7 – Carolina: They just gave up five draft picks for Sam Darnold so he’s probably on a two-year QB trial. A possible trade partner.

9 – Denver: They need a QB too and since the leap from 4, 5 or 6 from 9 is not as costly as it is from 15, they’re the biggest competitive threat.

Best Mock Draft Trade: Here’s the best trade-up deal I saw that gets the Pats in position to get a QB. It’s from NJ.com, which covers the Jets and Giants. They predicted a trade with Carolina for the eighth pick to take Lance in return for a first and third in 2021 and a second-round pick in 2022. Don’t know if it’s realistic, but the net is, their QB for just a second and a third. Providing I like the 17-0 in college Lance, where he never threw even one interception: done.

Is Athleticism Overrated? I guess the experts somehow missed that the 43-year-old who runs like an ostrich just won his seventh SB in February. And that 17 of the last 20 SB’s have been won by non-athletic QB’s. Which says that despite trendy thinking, QB athleticism is really a(n un-needed) luxury and that’s it.

Go QB Or Bust: I know they need one. But given that 34 of the 74 Round I QB’s since 1990 have been busts and 16 others just mediocre, picking in Round I guarantees nothing, not even for Lawrence. History shows one or more of the so-called top five QBs aren’t going to work out, and that 24 QB’s taken below Round 1 turned out to be very good to excellent, including three of the four leaders (Brady, Brees, Favre) in TD passes all-time. So we could look back in 10 years and see that likely second-rounders Kellen Mond of Texas A&M or Florida’s Kyle Trask were actually the guys who should have gone in Round I. All of which leaves me with only one clear feeling going into draft night.

Best game ever?

One of my sports pet peeves is people who proclaim something as the greatest ever immediately after something great happens like the NCAA College Basketball semi-final game from two Saturdays ago won in overtime by Gonzaga over UCLA, which was sent to OT on a miraculous half-court heave by Zaga’s Jalen Suggs. Don’t mind the enthusiasm and I’m fine with saying that’s the best game I’ve ever seen because that goes to their personal history. What does bug me is that before you proclaim something to be the “greatest” ever, you should have seen, or know a lot about, what has happened before.

But there it was the next day on Facebook with a friend, who should know better, nominating Gonzaga-UCLA as the greatest game ever. Of course like the lunatic I am I launched back by writing back, “EVER? Really? Are you kidding me? I can name two off the top of my head right now that are better than last night.” Now, I don’t recommend it to the kids at home, and only people of a certain age will understand what I mean when I say when I hear something like that, it’s like Moe hearing N-I-A-G-A-R-A Falls on The Three Stooges right before he gives Curley the double-finger eye poke and then hits him over the head with the crowbar. My version of “slowly I turn” was firing back my list of 10 better games.

But before I get to them, let me say what in my not so humble opinion has to happen for a game to be great. (1) There needs to be a dramatic/memorable ending. (2) It has to be historic in some way. (3) There have to be great players involved who build a sense of anticipation going in, like Magic vs. Larry in 1979, though that didn’t live up to the hype, B-O-R-I-N-G. (4) Not perfection, but the ultra-competitive and an extremely high level of play. (5) It helps to have white hat and black hat teams, like Georgetown was during the Hoya Paranoia glory day. (6) A major upset or near miss. (7) A great player performance like Bill Walton’s 21-for-22 day vs. Memphis State in 1973 when the only miss was a disallowed dunk because they weren’t legal then. How many young’ns know that? (8) The game should be played by historically great teams. (9) Or the game itself is so dramatically exciting it renders all my conditions moot. The only game I’ve ever seen do that was The Miracle On Ice at the 1980 Olympics.

Here’s my list from 10th to best.

North Carolina 77, Michigan 71: The Fab 4 was arguably the most publicized team in college basketball history, but it was 73-71 when the leader of the now all sophomore starting lineup, Chris Webber, called the fateful timeout Michigan didn’t have. UNC gets free throws and the ball to close it out.

Indiana 74, Syracuse 73: Keith Smart baseline buzzer-beater in the 1987 Final gives Bobby Knight his third title.

UNC 63, Georgetown 62: Two Hall of Fame coaches, two all-time great players, Patrick Ewing and Michael Jordan, and soon to be a first overall NBA pick James Worthy. Jordan’s all-time shot wins the 1983 Final right before Fred Brown mistakenly passes it to Worthy on final possession.

Duke 79, UNLV 77: Duke ends sinister UNLV’s bid for an undefeated season and a second straight title in the 1991 semi.

UNC 53, Kansas 52 in 3OT: With no one over 6’5” the Tar Heels survive a second straight triple-OT game to take down towering Wilt Chamberlain and Kansas, though MOP still goes to Wilt.

Villanova 66, Georgetown 64: Eight seed Nova shoots down its invincible Big East rival in the 1985 final by shooting 9 for 10 in the second half and 78 percent overall.

Duke 61, Butler 59: Largest lead was five and if Gordon Hayward’s mid-court shot drops the 2010 NCAA Final would have been the biggest upset in history. But instead the clock struck 12 to end Cinderella Butler’s dream as Coach K won his fourth title.

ND 71, UCLA 70: Second-ranked ND took down top-ranked UCLA to end its 88-game winning streak in January 1974 when with 29 seconds left as Dwight Clay’s 15-footer gave ND its only lead, followed by a Bruins miss and three frantic put backs before jubilant ND fans poured onto the court to celebrate the historic win.

Duke over Kentucky 104-103 in OT: The 1992 East Regional Final featured two HoF coaches and the most memorable full court pass in history from a Top 50 player (Grant Hill) to a Top 10 member (Christian Laettner) for the fake left, spin right foul line jumper that won it to make Laettner 10 for 10 from the field and 10 for 10 from the foul line in the game.

North Carolina State 80 UCLA 77 in 2OT: This wins for drama, historic nature, all-time figures (John Wooden, Bill Walton, David Thompson) and great performances along with NC State fighting back from 7 down in the final minutes of regulation and 5 down in the second OT. And, oh yeah, it ended UCLA’s 37-game tournament winning streak and reign of seven titles.

There’s my Top 10 with honorable mention going to 1966 when Texas Western’s first ever all-Black starting lineup took down Kentucky, NC State beating Houston with Clyde Drexler and Akeem Olajuwon a last-second Lorenzo Charles dunk, and the spectacular 1974 ACC 103-100 Final won by NC State over Maryland.

As for Gonzaga-UCLA: Great game, lots of drama and a historically memorable play. But I’ve seen many games I thought were better because, with all due respect, I didn’t think the teams were that good, Gonzaga’s quest for an undefeated season was aided by playing in a second-tier conference, there were no historic players, and the great Suggs shot wouldn’t have counted in H-O-R-S-E because he didn’t call the bank.

Shaky start for the Sox

Well, the local nine put all those in Red Sox Nation with fears a second titanic-like season is dead ahead on Defcon 5 by getting swept by Baltimore right out of the box. It’s only the second time they’ve started a year with three straight losses at home and the first since 1948. Made all the worse by its being at the hands of the horrible for two decades Orioles.

Making matters even worse was after a historically bad team-wide pitching performance in 2020 they gave up 17 runs in three games and started the season with their two best pitchers on the DL. Though it’s expected that after missing all of last year it will be a short stay for Eduardo Rodriguez, who went there with the common late spring training malady “dead arm.” On the other hand the returning from Tommy John surgery Chris Sale likely won’t be seen before mid-July.

Compounding it all is the total organizational makeover underway by new (sort of) stat geek GM Chaim Bloom, which in two short seasons turned a 108-win world championship team into a last-place finish in the AL East. So, given the major skepticism coursing through the Nation for Bloom and his plan, it’s going to make finding even a glimmer of optimism a little tough. But seeing now that JD Martinez has his beloved video tools back he jumped out going 5-10 with a homer after his miserable 2020 campaign probably qualifies. There’s also, warts and all, the curiosity of seeing how/whether Bobby Dalbec develops into the Tony Conigliaro-like power hitter some are predicting, which would be sweet.

In the meantime, as some sit patiently, others not so much, watching the year unfold, here are some stories to keep an eye on around baseball as we begin the 2021 season.

Hoping Cleveland does what it appears Washington will do after dropping the Redskins nickname to be the Washington Football Team. Since contrived new nicknames rarely stick with anyone, The Cleveland Baseball Team rings true.

Baseball 101: Which player is the active leader in career hits?

Incidentally, if you follow these sort of things, Dalbec’s five strikeouts over the weekend project to 270 over 162 games. Probably a bit of an aberration, but if you’re headed to Vegas I’d bet the over on his K’s for the year no matter what it is.

For the record, the record for strikeouts in one season is 223 held by ex-Oriole Mark Reynolds in 2009. The 200-K season tells all what baseball has become in 2021. All 13 times someone has struck out 200-plus times have happened since 2008, when Reynolds whiffed 204 times. And you have to go all the way down to 31 on the single season list to find someone from the 20th century. That would be Barry’s father Bobby Bonds, who K’d 189 times with the Giants in 1969.

Actually there is another thing that exemplifies what baseball 2021 is: the handling of the pitching staff, and it only took all of two games for me to want to throw up in my mouth all over again on that after hearing Twins manager Rocco Baldelli pulled Jose Berrios on Saturday with a no-hitter in progress. Making it more maddening is that despite having a pitch count-consuming 12 strikeouts in six innings vs. Milwaukee he’d thrown just 84 pitches. Guess 84 is the new 100 pitch count. Despite that lunacy from Rocco, Minnesota still won 2-0. Here’s hoping Minnesota goes 1-161 after that.

However, from baseball’s sickening follow-the-leader approach to managing comes the story of Angels pitcher/outfielder Shohei Ohtani. In the first game he ever hit in the order on the day he pitched Ohtani achieved a first of its kind double-double. He registered 100 mph-plus three times in the first inning, then on the first pitch he saw later that inning he hit a 450-foot homer that went out at 115 mph. He also became the first pitcher to bat second in the order since the Cardinals’ Jack Dunleavy last did it in 1903!

Baseball 101 Answer: Detroit’s Miguel Cabrera is the hit leader with a 46th best all-time 2,867.

Cabrera is also 12 homers short of 500. But given recent history neither’s a lock for 2021. He’s only had the 133 hits needed for 3,000 once since the year after Dave Dombrowski made him the highest paid player in 2016. Ditto on the homers he needed for 500. And they still owe him a mind-bending $120 million.

Albert Pujols has even bigger historical targets in range, He’s 37 homers and 33 doubles shy of becoming the first ever member of the 700 club in both categories. Plus he’s 111 RBI behind Babe Ruth’s 2,214 for second best all time in runs batted in. However, like Cabrera he’s only reached each needed number one time in his nine years with the Angels.

Incidentally the $342 million 10-year contract Francisco Lindor just got from the Mets is not apples and apples with the Sox passing on a big one for Mookie Betts. The motivation in Metland was a new owner looking to make a good first impression. Plus they had just given up a lot of talent to bring him to NYC, and it would have made no sense to do that for a one-year rental. And new owner Steve Cohen is also a lifelong Mets fan boy and his team hadn’t won it since 1986.

Hearing that a Tommy John survivor hit 100 on the gun had to be music to Sale’s ears. Though never a strikeout pitcher like Sale, the real TJ went on to have three 20-win seasons, win 164 games overall and pitch until he was 46 after becoming the first to have it done in 1975.

So I’m guessing there is hope for an eventual return to form by Sale.

Ainge behind Celtics mess

I said last week I don’t think Danny Ainge realizes how much trouble the Celtics are in. And that was before Saturday’s absolutely appalling, ah, win against the G-League team in Oak City they call the Thunder that came from a fourth-quarter blitz after a total non-effort during the first three quarters, when somehow they let a guy I never heard of go for 17 points and a Wilt Chamberlain-like 19 rebounds by halftime. Throw in their mostly lethargic play since an 8-2 start, best exemplified by their two losses to Brooklyn as they got rolled by Kyrie Irving, and it tells all you need to know. A total lack of fight and pride.

But the bigger problem is the decision-making for personnel by Ainge, which after a long run of terrific moves has been mostly terrible for three years. It’s led to a major talent drain as Irving, Al Horford, Gordon Hayward and Terry Rozier have walked while getting only the comparable, but oft injured, Kemba Walker back. This is compounded by an inability to build a stronger bench because of an irrational reluctance to part with his war chest of draft assets in deals. His many major draft misses over the last 10 years have led people to logically ask, if he can’t draft consistently, why not trade the picks for a guy you know can play in the NBA? Instead he keeps them, drafts badly and then is unable to get anything of value for players like Grant Williams and Aaron Nesmith because they are marginal players.

Not all of the decisions and draft picks have been bad, but many have. Here’s a summary.

2011-2012–Drafted: JaJuan Johnson (27th overall). Passed on: Jimmy Butler (29), Chandler Parsons (38). Coming and going: Big Baby Davis traded for Brandon Bass. End game: JaJuan lasted one year in the league, while Butler is a star and the kind of leader the Celtics lack.

2012-2013 –Drafted: Jared Sullinger (21) and Fab Melo (22). Passed on: Jae Crowder (34), Draymond Green (35), Khris Middleton (39). Coming and going: no one of consequence. End game: Sullinger was a serviceable player, while the late (not so) Fab actually outdid JuJuan by playing just six NBA games.

2013-2014 –Drafted: Kelly Olynyk (traded up to 13). Passed on: Giannis Antetokounmpo (15), Rudy Gobert (27). Coming and going: Nothing of any real consequence added or lost. End game: It’s hard to understand how Danny could be so in love with 3-point-shooting bigs, instead of 6’11” athletes who give 100 percent of their effort on every single play. The biggest mistake of the Ainge era.

2014-2015 –Drafted: Marcus Smart (6) and James Young (17). Passed on: Clint Capela (21), Nikola Jokic (41). Coming and going: A tank-athon season began with KG, Paul Pierce and Jason Terry being traded to Brooklyn. Trades of Jeff Green, Rajon Rondo and a draft pick brought back a first-round pick, Jae Crowder and Isaiah Thomas. End game:Thomas trade shockingly turned a team headed nowhere into a playoff team.They wasted the first Brooklyn pick on Young, but the trade eventually delivered Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Irving, so it was a major win. Despite going sixth Smart was the second best guy drafted after Joel Embiid.

2015-2016 Drafted: Rozier (16) and RJ Hunter (28). Passed on: Montrezl Harrell (32), Norman Powell (46). Coming and going: No major moves. End game: Rozier showed promise, but Hunter wasn’t the knock-down shooter he was billed as, but sadly Powell eventually was/is.

2016-2017 –Drafted: Brown (3), Guerschon Yabusele (16), Ante Zizic (23). Passed on: Pascal Siakam (27), Malcolm Brogdon (36). Coming and/or going: Signed Al Horford as a free agent in a very good move. End game: Brown has been even better than expected. But with Yabusele looking 50 pounds overweight on draft night, it’s mind-boggling Ainge took him at all, let alone in Round 1. His worst pick ever and when you also know he also picked JaJuan, Fab and RJ Jr. that’s saying something.

2017-2018–Drafted: Tatum (3). Passed on: De’Aaron Fox (5), Donovan Mitchell (13), Bam Adebayo (14). Coming and going: Callously dumped Thomas in trade for Irving and with signing Hayward optimism ran amok until six minutes into the season when Hayward suffered a gruesome injury. End game:Came within a half of going to the NBA finals with both Kyrie and Hayward sidelined for the playoffs.

2018-2019Drafted: Robert Williams (28). Passed on: Devonte Graham (34).Coming and going: No notable transactions.End game: A dumpster fire of a season from start to early finish. Time Lord looks like a gift at 28.

2019-2020Drafted: Romeo Langford (14), Grant Williams (22). Passed on: no one notable. Coming and going: Before the year Kyrie and Horford walked for nothing in return and the Rozier now scoring 20 per night went for injury-hampered Kemba Walker. End game: Much better year but should have stuck with Rozier and traded Kyrie a season earlier.

2020-2021 Drafted: Aaron Nesmith (14), Payton Pritchard (26). Passed on: Saddiq Bey (19), Immanuel Quickley (25). Coming and going: Lost Hayward after passing on a deal for shot-blocking stretch 4 Myles Turner and Doug McDermott. Instead took a $28 million trade exception with 17 just sent for Evan Fournier. End game: Danny blew the deal for Hayward with Indiana. And while Fournier is solid, is using the valuable exception on a two-month rental a smart play by a team going nowhere?

How would the Cs look now if they got one or more of Butler, Green, Antetokounmpo, Jokic, Harrell and Siakam? Or by sending Nesmith, Lankford, Hunter, JuJuan and others away in deals for veterans when their value as draft picks is much higher than after being taken? Bottom line: Danny had better get it together because guys get fired for the kind of streak he’s on.

Coach B goes nuts

For card-carrying members of Patriot Nation, with Bill Belichick going away from type to blow up the first week of NFL free agency by bringing in 13 new faces, it was quite a week. It was the talk of the league and the biggest sports story of the week. But with the NCAA Basketball Tournament kicking off, the Celtics season collapsing, the Red Sox close to beginning with anonymous faces all over the roster and the Bruins also operating there’s a lot going on. So with that my brain is about to explode if I don’t clear some room by sharing the following today.

At the risk of earning a scolding from my friend Bill (Wright) Clayton, I should admit that what the Bruins are doing is mostly in the dark for me.

Think it’s the pandemic, which has messed with my head by throwing off the regular calendar. I couldn’t get into the Masters in fall, UNH football in the spring, baseball at all and even my usual enthusiasm for the NCAA Tournament, which should be of really high interest with Gonzaga having a chance to have the first undefeated season since Indiana in 1976-77.

Ditto (again) for baseball, but it’s more for Chaim Bloom dismantling the 2018 outfield and a pitching staff that seems to have been recruited from the FBI’s Witness Protection Program. Or maybe I just don’t have the patience to wait out whatever Bloom’s master plan is.

On the plus side, I am curious about current prodigal minor-leaguer son Jarren Duran. Ditto for a full season of Bobby Dalbec. Someone said in the Boston Globe the other day that every time he sees him he thinks of Tony Conigliaro. High praise indeed since he was the second youngest player to reach 100 homers in MLB history.

Sports 101: Who was the youngest player to reach 100 homers?

Hearing Danny Ainge talk about the dumpster fire the season is turning into makes me think he doesn’t get how much trouble the Celtics are in.

I think Brad Stevens has done a very good job overall here, but if going home is appealing I’d say take the Indiana job, because the biggest thing the C’s need is a new voice, one that will come with a large boot to kick them in the tail, because they are too accepting of losses.

If you like to keep track of these things, the now 22-year-old Collin Sexton, whom the Cavaliers took with the lottery pick the Celtics gave them in the Kyrie Irving trade, is averaging 24.2 points per game, and for Terry Rozier, who walked the plank for Kemba Walker, it’s 20. Meanwhile the hobbled and struggling Kemba’s at 17.1 while making $12 million more per year.

Lakers sixth man from the 1980s glory days Michael Cooper gets my vote for the Hall of Fame. With all due respect to Dennis Rodman, Robert Reid and Paul Pressey, nobody gave Larry Bird more trouble. So that and being a real contributor to five titles puts him in for me.

One final word on Coach B’s spending spree: So much for the idea that after the disintegration of the Brady-Belichick relationship players would no longer want to come to Gille tte as free agents.

Don’t know if it was an all-time MLB record, but Johnny Damon allegedly blew a .3 on the breathalyzer a couple of weeks back in Florida. That got him arrested on suspicion of drunk driving, to which he later pleaded not guilty. Danno also booked his wife Michelle on charges of battery on a police officer and resisting arrest with violence, according to news reports. Damon reportedly tried everything to get let off including the old chestnut, “I‘m 200 yards from my house,” and the new chestnut, “I know I‘m being targeted because I support Donald Trump,” all of which probably renews his membership in the Idiots Club for another 10 years.

I know he was a terrific player, but sorry, I don’t get the who-ha over Drew Brees joining NBC. I get the great white whale hunt for Peyton Manning because broadcasting is about insight and personality and he’s got both. Brees may have insight, but so did Joe Montana and he was a disaster because the personality wasn’t there, and I fear Brees’ blandness will lead to a similar outcome.

And in a related note, with Brees retiring, Tom Brady will be the all-time leader in TD passes and passing yards with no one on the horizon for at least 15 years.

Sports 101 Answer: The youngest to reach 100 homers was the forgotten great New York Giant Mel Ott. He got to the majors at 17 in 1926 and reached 100 at 22 helped by going for 42 homers and 151 RBI while batting .328 when he was just 20. With 504 he was the third to reach 500 and the NL leader until Willie Mays passed him in 1965.

I thought I’d heard or read all the Yogisms there were, but I just ran across two new ones. His wife, Carmen, asked him while they were estate planning, “You’re born in St. Louis, you live in New Jersey and you played ball in New York. So if you go before I do, where would you like me to have you buried?” To which Yogi said, “Surprise me.” Then there is when he and Reggie Jackson are watching the names of baseball legends who had died over that year scroll on the scoreboard as they’re read to the Old-Timers Day crowd, when Yogi looks up at Reggie and says, “I hope I never see my name up there for that.”

Uproar after Cam’s signing

This is going to sound hypocritical, especially coming from me. But everyone is a critic.

Even for wildly popular things like the recently passed stimulus bill national polls say was supported by 75 percent of the country. Still, the entire GOP voted it down, as the so-called progressives on the other side loudly say it doesn’t go far enough. Economists? They’re whining it will cause inflation. Meanwhile struggling folks everywhere gratefully say thanks.

As honest Abe once said, you can’t please all the people all of the time.

Joining the chorus this week were those who didn’t like (or hated) Bill Belichick bringing back Cam Newton as Patriots’ QB for 2021. After a 7-9 season, when Cam threw an anemic eight TD passes, it’s fair to question the decision. Particularly at first glance, but if you dive deeper into what’s going on as they renovate the roster, there are legit reasons to do it. Though admittedly they carry risk of failure and don’t inspire confidence throughout Patriot Nation.

As you might expect, it caused media blowback as well, where people like Gary Tanguay and Dan Shaughnessy acted like Bill did something personally to them. For Tanguay, it was his usual harangue (on WEEI) about Bill’s “arrogance to not care what we think,” while Big Dan actually said this in the Boston Globe: “As ever, stubborn Bill knows more than we do. And he’s going to show you how smart he is again.” I had to re-read that about 10 times to make sure he actually meant it the way it seemed. He did and thus it’s hard to contemplate how idiotic that statement is.

Trust me, neither of those two is a deep thinker. They’re reactionaries, who are ready, fire, aim guys thanks to being overly emotional (Tanguay) or taking any opportunity to land a blow in a feud with the Kraft family dating back to the Bill Parcells border war departure (Big Dan). It leads to really dumb predictions like saying (I’m paraphrasing) it’s a big mistake that will come back to haunt them, after Coach B traded sulking Randy Moss (over his contract) four games into 2010. It was such a huge mistake they only won 11 of 12 after that to finish 14-2. There’s also the old standby, “they think they’re smarter than everyone else.” Sorry, having the highest NFL winning percentage over 20 years says they are. So why would anyone listen to them?

One person I will listen to is Rodney Harrison, who has no axe to grind and actually knows something about football. He said long ago he didn’t believe Cam could play at a level needed for NFL success any more. Not sure if I agree or disagree. I mean Baltimore won a SB with Trent Dilfer at QB and Cam’s better than him. But I’m OK with the signing if it’s the first move in a two-step process.

Here’s what I think about why he did what he did:

Biggest Need:It’s notjust finding a QB, but finding along-term solution at quarterback. The best way to get that is to draft one and hit on the pick. Most rookies, even ones that play in Year 1, usually learn behind a veteran for up to a full season. Then when ready they take over and the vet becomes the backup. That’s what I think Newton likely is for 2021.

Why Draft One Over Sign One: Two reasons.You’ve got him for five seasons and thus you can shape him into what you want him to be, as Charlie Weis did by starting Tom Brady off with mostly low-risk slants and quick outs to the sideline until Brady showed he could be trusted with more. Second, they get a QB on a low-cost rookie contract (about $5 million) for five years, over spending the $40 million per Dak Prescott will cost Dallas over the same time. That saving can be invested team wide, instead of the salary cap casualties they’ll see in Dallas. The Pats’ first three SB wins had that advantage.

Why Not Jimmy G: At $25 million per the people’s choice is not as onerous as Dak. But that still cuts into their free agent cash in a year they have a major spending advantage over almost every team. A lot of pot holes can be filled during what will be a tight, bargain-filled job market featuring more talent than usual. Here’s the math: After signing Newton and last week’s Trent Brown and Marcus Cannon trades they had $69 million to spend. With a Round 1 trade up to get the QB, $13 million-ish goes to rookie salaries, taking it down to $56 million. It will take around $25 million or so to keep must-signs (Andrews, Guy, Jackson, Jason McCourty and a third down back) to leave $31 million. Twenty-five more for Jimmy G leaves $6 million to sign two wideouts, a tight end, run-stopping d-lineman, edge rusher and a kicker. What will they get for that? Not much, making the question if Brady couldn’t win with his receivers in 2019 what makes anyone think Garoppolo can with a similar bunch they’ll be able to afford for 2021?

Why Cam Newton: Two reasons. He’s a cheap option with a chance for a higher upside. Second, while they could have gone with a Ryan Fitzpatrick, they probably preferred continuity and are betting with a real training camp, better command of the offense and more talent around him he’ll play better in 2021. And when the rook Is ready, he could evolve into a complementary Wildcat QB, who can actually pass and be the strong short-yardage runner on third down and around the goal line he was in 2020. Fitzpatrick can’t do that.

Only time will tell if Cam is the best choice. In the meantime, the media noise brings to mind the Bill Parcells adage, “if you listen to people in the cheap seats, sooner or later you’ll be up there with them.”

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