The Patriots enter December in the very unfamiliar position of being on the verge of elimination from playoff contention. We haven’t seen that in 20 years, which is so long ago I can’t remember much from that year besides that it was Coach B’s first year, they finished 5-11 and weren’t must-watch TV at that point. Since, they’ve only missed the playoffs twice, and that was only on tie-breakers after for the lead jn the AFC East in 2002 and 2018 when Tom Brady missed all but 10 minutes of the season.
That won’t be the case this year, as after Sunday’s win over Arizona they’re three games behind division-leading Buffalo and, at 5-6, two games behind in the race for the last playoff spot. That makes this year a little different, so here are a few thoughts on how it’s shaking down.
At 10-0 as I write this Pittsburgh is the latest to make a run at an undefeated season. After a couple of down years and question marks about Big Ben’s arm, few saw this coming. They have what look to be tough games with Baltimore (which may have happened by the time you see this), and the Bills in Buffalo, before finishing with the 7-4 Colts and surprising 8-3 Browns who’ll likely be playing for a spot in the playoffs, or a home field game. So we’ll see.
Speaking of the Steelers, why can they keep coming up with speedy and productive wide receivers while the last receivers of note the Pats have drafted were David Givens and Deion Branch in 2002? Technically Julian Edelman was taken in 2009, but he was a wishbone QB and picked to be more of a return guy. Patriots flunkouts in that time include Bethel Johnson (2), P. K. Sam (5), Chad Jackson (2), Brandon Tate (3), Taylor Price (3), Aaron Dobson (2) and Josh Boyce (4). Malcolm Mitchell (4) wasn’t bad, but pre-existing knee conditions said he was not likely a long-timer, N’Keal Harry trending that way. Meanwhile Pittsburgh’s draft room has picked Hines Ward (3), Plaxico Burress (1), Antwaan Randle El (2), Santonio Holmes (1), Mike Wallace (3), Emmanuel Sanders (3) and Antonio Brown (6) in the same draft, Martavis Bryant (4), Ju-Ju Smith-Schuster (2), James Washington (2), Diontae Johnson (3) and Chase Claypool in the second round this year. Am I the only one who finds that galling?
One final thought on Pittsburgh. With the Lakers tying the Celtics for most NBA titles at 17 in October, it’s already been a bad year for franchise legacy in Boston. But if Pittsburgh wins the Super Bowl it breaks their tie with New England for most SB wins with seven.
However, my money is on Kansas City to win because with all due respect to Russell Wilson they have the best quarterback. And the weird thing about Pat Mahomes is he doesn’t really look that good — until you see more and more of him. He doesn’t appear to have great arm strength but makes ridiculously on target deep throws off his back foot, on the run and from so many different angles that he reminds me of Luis Tiant doing that out of his corkscrew delivery. I wouldn’t call him fast, but he was fast enough to get two critical first downs with his feet Sunday vs. Tampa Bay. He was Larry Bird-like there in seeing things two counts before everyone else to bolt from the pocket early because he knew he could make it to the sticks and that was more valuable than any larger play down field. Which is what his real edge is — his brain. Which is what he has most in common with vintage Tom Brady.
Incidentally those two are 1-2 in passing yards in the NFL.
Fox broadcaster Kevin Burkhardt isa dead sound-alike for Red Sox TV guy Dave O’Brien. Spent the whole game on Sunday wondering if it was O’Brien till they showed a booth shot that showed it wasn’t.
Bill Belichick Coaching Tree Updates After Sunday: (1) Brian Flores improved 7-4 Miami playoff chances with a win over the Jets. (2) Ditto for Mike Vrabel, whose Titans won their battle for first in the AFC South over the Colts behind a punishing 178-yard rushing day from Derrick Henry. (3) After an 0-5 start Joe Judge has been picking up fans by getting the 4-7 G-Men into first in the moribund NFC East. (4) Matt Patricia didn’t make it to Sunday as he and fellow Pats alum GM Bob Quinn got fired after being Houston’s meal on Thanksgiving Day. (5) Romeo Crennel is now 4-3 as interim coach in Houston after consecutive wins over Matty P. and Coach B. (6) Bill O’Brien is on vacation after being fired in Houston.
Who can forget David Caldwell saying upon getting the GM job in Jacksonville that signing hometown hero Tim Tebow would only happen over his dead body? Well, owner Shahid Khan should’ve taken the dead body, because with the Jags a complete mess Caldwell got fired on Sunday.
So what’s the problem in Tampa Bay? They’re looking good for the playoffs, but there’s still a lot of yacking going on. TB-12 has made his share of key mistakes, but I put it on Bruce Arians’ stubborn unwillingness to adapt his system to the talent he has at QB. When Brady went there I predicted his interceptions were going up to at least 15 (he has 11) after only being in double digits twice (11 each time) the last 10 years. That’s because TB throws deep down field and that’s never been his strength. It’s incumbent on the coach to adjust to reality, rather than making a 43-year-old do something he can’t do.
Plus, Arians stupidly laying it all on Brady in public brings to mind the other thing I said when he left Foxboro: The grass often isn’t as green on the other side of the fence as it may seem.
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