Following their latest loss, where they blew a 20-plus-point lead again, the 15-15 Celtics are straddling a line between their season becoming a huge disappointment and a total catastrophe. A wild overstatement? Maybe, but we’re now five weeks into a stretch of 11 losses in 19 games and it’s not like it’s been an incredibly rough stretch in the schedule. It started with a horrid mail-it-in 105-75 loss to the Knicks, which was followed by losses to bottom-dwellers Detroit, Washington, Sacramento, Atlanta and New Orleans on Sunday. So it’s beyond being just a funk. Shockingly it leaves them just a half game ahead of the surprising Knicks, and I’m pretty sure “catastrophe”would be the No. 1 answer if this were an episode of Family Feud and a family of green-teamers were asked what one word would best sum up finishing behind the Knickerbockers this year.
Now I’m more into fixing things than second guessing, so here’s a look at the issues and some suggestions for fixing the problem.
The Team Is Playing Dead: They have no emotion. Especially with Marcus Smart out. All teams need a guy who gets in people’s faces when they don’t play hard, they make dumb mistakes or they just don’t care enough about winning and losing. Some do it by scaring guys like MJ or KG, some with a stern leadership demeanor like LBJ. Others are just a pain in the butt like Draymond Green. But however it’s done every team needs it and they don’t have a guy like that.
Brad Stevens: I’m not a blame-the-coach-for-everything kind of guy. But I admit I have Brad fatigue for two reasons.
They Reflect His Placid Demeanor: Some coaches are suited for one kind of situation and not for others, like Bill Fitch with the Celtics in the ’80s. His drill sergeant approach was perfect for the young team Larry Bird joined as a rookie, which needed to learn how to win. But his shrill, never satisfied voice was eventually tuned out when those lessons were learned. In came the “treat them like they know what they’re doing” KC Jones and the guys responded by winning two titles. That may be the case here in reverse. This passive group needs a guy to drive them because they’re too comfortable with losses.
He’s Too In Love With The 3-Ball:It’s why they blow so many big leads. Once the 3’s stop falling, they have few other options to look for help as the big leads melt away, as happened on Sunday.
Jayson Tatum: I know how talented he is and he’s a good kid who puts in the work to improve. But I want more. I know it’s not his way, but the best player has got to develop a what-the-blank-are-you-doing way when needed, and until he does he’s not a Top 10 player or the leader they need.
The 3-Ball Doesn’t Always Fall: I know it’s a 3-ball league and what the math says about taking 3’s over 2’s. But sorry, anyone who has ever played knows that sometimes long-distance shots hit dry spells. Thus teams also need scoring down low, where the percentage is higher and you get foul shots. You rarely get the latter on 3-balls unless you have a dope covering you. Case in point was Sunday, when after being down 21, instead of the Pelicans chucking up more 3’s, they posted up 280-pound Zion Williamson or gave it to him at the foul line for drives, where he just overpowered everyone, leading to easy buckets and trips to the line for old-time three-point plays. That and the sudden appearance of defense was why they turned that game around. Having a really dependable block scorer, like, I don’t know, Joel Embiid also forces weakside defenders to double team them, which gives shooters more time/room to launch.
C’s Needs Restructuring:I don’t know what Brian Scalabrine is smoking, but the biggest need is not another scoring wing like Harrison Barnes. It’s changing the formula from wing scoring dominance to one that complements the 3-ball with reliable scoring from the block.As much as I love the grit of Daniel Theis, that’s not him. So a trade is needed. But if they want to wait a bit, give Robert Williams 30 minutes a game to see if he can do some of that.
The General Manager: Earth to Danny, what are you waiting for? Stop trying to get a steal every time you make a trade like in the Gordon Hayward-for-Myles Turner fiasco. I’m not in love with Turner, but taking only him in that deal instead of holding out for more would have filled the need to get bigger up front and provided a stretch four who blocks shots too. He also could have been flipped later for a better fit. Rome is burning. Stop fiddling (and diddling) and get what is needed.
The Bench Needs Scoring:Short term, I’d swap Payton Pritchard and Kemba, to give the second unit a much-needed dynamic scorer. However, any major deal will likely need Kemba as the bait to make that happen, so it must give the C’s a proven bench scorer back, like Orlando’s Terrence Ross.
Top Trade Target: I wanted Orlando’s Nikola Vucevic as the free agent replacement the summer Al Horford and Kyrie Irving defected. The problem is that he’s blossomed into a 24 and 11 guy so he’ll cost a lot more. Why would Orlando move him? Maybe after falling out of it again they’ll want to build around their younger players and know his trade value will never be higher. He’ll cost future picks, recent top picks and likely the Time Lord, unless Kemba goes to a third team needing a veteran presence with a lot of draft capital to send their way like New Orleans.